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Cardiovascular risks of COX-2 inhibitors and NSAIDs confirmed
Issue No 2
21st June 2006

Study Design
What were the key results?
What were the main limitations of this study?
Where does this study fit with current practice?


The bottom line

The results of a meta-analysis in the BMJ support previous studies, which have shown that selective COX-2 inhibitors and traditional NSAIDs cause a small absolute increase in the risk of cardiovascular (CV) events. Naproxen may confer slightly less CV risk than other NSAIDs but until this is confirmed with further evidence, naproxen should continue to be prescribed with the same precautions as other NSAIDs.

Should this change practice?

In addition to the increased CV risk, traditional NSAIDs and selective COX-2 inhibitors increase the risk of gastrointestinal (GI) complications, hypertension, heart failure and renal failure.

The following steps are appropriate for people with osteoarthritis or musculoskeletal pain, particularly if they are elderly:

  • Before using any NSAID consider other interventions: paracetamol and non-drug interventions should be tried first and will work for many
  • If NSAIDs are required, use the lowest effective dose, for the shortest possible length of time. Consider the overall safety profile of NSAIDs (in particular GI safety) and risk factors for individual patients. Low-dose ibuprofen should normally be considered before naproxen or diclofenac
  • Consider gastroprotection with traditional NSAIDs in those at high risk of upper GI complications (e.g. aged 65 or over, history of GI or CV disease). Options include misoprostol and proton-pump inhibitors.

Selective COX-2 inhibitors do not have good evidence to support the belief that they reduce NSAID-associated dyspepsia or serious upper GI complications, compared with other NSAIDs. The Committee on Safety of Medicines has also warned about their use in people with existing CV disease and CV risk factors.

Source

Source Kearney PM, Baigent C, Godwin J, et al. Do selective cyclo- oxygenase-2 inhibitors and traditional non-steroidal anti- inflammatory drugs increase the risk of atherothrombosis? Meta-analysis of randomised trials. BMJ 2006;332:1302-8

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Study Design

The objective of this study1 was to assess the effects of selective cyclo-oxygenase-2 (COX-2) inhibitors and traditional (non-selective) non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) on the risk of vascular events. The authors performed a meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that compared selective COX-2 inhibitors with placebo or traditional NSAIDs, with a minimum of four weeks treatment, and recorded serious vascular events (stroke, vascular death and myocardial infarction [MI]). Studies for review were identified from a search of Medline and Embase (January 1996 to April 2005), Food and Drug Administration records, and data on file from the manufacturers’ databases (Novartis, Pfizer, and Merck). No indication was provided as to whether or not allocation was concealed in the studies.

The meta-analysis included 138 RCTs, involving a total of 145,373 people; demographics such as age, gender, etc., were not stated. Selective COX-2 inhibitors included rofecoxib, celecoxib, etoricoxib, lumiracoxib or valdecoxib. Traditional NSAIDs included naproxen (42 trials), ibuprofen (24 trials), diclofenac (26 trials), as well as nabumetone, indometacin, loxoprofen and, ketoprofen (7 trials in total).

Comparisons of the effects on vascular events were made between selective COX-2 inhibitors and placebo, between selective COX-2 inhibitors and traditional NSAIDs, and between individual NSAIDs and placebo. Selective COX-2 inhibitors were also compared separately with naproxen and non-naproxen traditional NSAIDs, on the basis that naproxen might have aspirin-like antiplatelet effects.

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What were the key results?

Selective COX-2 inhibitors were associated with a significantly increased incidence of serious vascular events compared with placebo, which was mainly attributed to an increased risk of myocardial infarction (see Table), with little apparent difference in other vascular outcomes.

When selective COX-2 inhibitors were compared with traditional NSAIDs, there was a significantly increased risk versus naproxen, but not versus other traditional NSAIDs or NSAIDs as a whole (see Table).

Less robust methodology was used to compare the CV risks of NSAIDs with placebo (it included indirect estimates of vascular risk from trials of selective COX-2 inhibitors versus placebo and selective COX-2 inhibitors versus traditional NSAIDs), and results of these analyses should be interpreted cautiously. Compared with placebo, there was a significant increase in the incidence of serious vascular events for diclofenac (rate ratio [RR] 1.63, 95%CI 1.12 to 2.37) but not for naproxen (RR 0.92, 95%CI 0.67 to 1.26) or ibuprofen (RR 1.51; 95%CI 0.96 to 2.37). The authors postulated that higher doses of ibuprofen (800mg three times a day) and diclofenac (75mg twice a day) were associated with increased risk of vascular events. This assertion appeared as headlines in the media, despite the absence of data in the paper to support this.

Dose used

The data from placebo-controlled trials were inadequate to allow assessment of whether the CV risks of selective COX-2 inhibitors are dose dependent. Although there was a weak trend (P=0.03) towards larger risks with higher doses of celecoxib, the results were driven by one trial. Further research is required before any firm conclusions can be drawn.

Duration of treatment

Only 9 of the 121 placebo-controlled trials included were for 12 months or longer. Two-thirds of vascular events occurred in these 9 studies, and the RR for vascular events was 1.45 (95%CI 1.12 to 1.89; P=0.005) with an absolute rate increase (ARI) of 0.3% per year (number needed to harm [NNH]=333).

Concomitant use of aspirin

84 of the placebo-controlled studies allowed concomitant use of low-dose aspirin for cardioprotection (presumably 300mg per day or less). There were no indications that the CV effects of selective COX-2 inhibitors differed among aspirin users and non-users.

Table: The risk of a serious vascular event with selective COX-2 inhibitors compared with traditional NSAIDs1

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What were the main limitations of this study?

The main limitation of this study is the relatively small number of vascular events that are included. As these data are derived from RCTs designed to examine other safety issues, such as the effects on the GI tract, or to look at the efficacy of these agents in pain control, this is not surprising.

It is difficult to assess the reliability of the conclusions drawn, as many details of the methodologies used and important information, particularly with regard to the comparison of traditional NSAIDs with placebo, appears to be missing.

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Where does this study fit with current practice?

This study adds weight to previous analyses of the CV effects of selective COX-2 inhibitors and traditional NSAIDs.

Selective COX-2 inhibitors are associated with a small increase in the risk of vascular events, e.g. MI and stroke. Hence, the Committee on Safety of Medicines (CSM) advises that these drugs should be avoided in patients with established CV disease, and used cautiously in those with CV risk factors.2

Following a European regulatory review of the CV safety of NSAIDs in 2005,3 the CSM concluded that the evidence was insufficient to make firm conclusions regarding the CV safety of naproxen, ibuprofen and diclofenac relative to one another or selective COX-2 inhibitors. However there were suggestions that naproxen had a lower thrombotic risk than selective COX-2 inhibitors. The present study is consistent with this, and suggests that the CV risk may be lower with naproxen than with diclofenac or ibuprofen. However, further studies are needed to confirm this and naproxen should continue to be prescribed with the same precautions as other NSAIDs.

At the time, the CSM suggested that any CV risk of traditional NSAIDs was likely to be small and associated with continuous long-term treatment and higher doses. They stated that switching treatment between NSAIDs was not justified on the available evidence.3 As the analysis of traditional NSAIDs versus placebo in this study is based largely on indirect comparisons, this advice still seems appropriate. Prescribers and patients should still be conscious of the need for caution with all NSAIDs. Adverse GI events with traditional NSAIDs are well recognised. The relative risk of hospitalisation for an acute GI event for a person in their 70s is 1.20 (95%CI 1.09 to 1.32) compared to someone in their 50s, whereas for someone aged 80 years or older the relative risk is 1.61 (95%CI 1.46 to 1.78). Renal adverse events may be more insidious in onset and less dramatic, but the RR of hospitalisation for an acute renal event due to NSAIDs for someone in their 70s is 4.70 (95%CI 3.49 to 6.33), and for someone aged 80 or older the RR is 8.79 (95%CI 6.55 to 11.8).4

In addition, traditional NSAIDs increase blood pressure by an average of 5mmHg,5 and the CSM has issued a warning about etoricoxib and its effect on blood pressure.2 NSAIDs increase the risk of heart failure in patients with a history of hypertension, diabetes or renal failure.6

Despite some reduction in the number of items of NSAIDs prescribed in late 2004 and early 2005 following the withdrawal of rofecoxib and the publication of the CSM advice, about 4.5million NSAID items are still being prescribed in primary care in England each quarter (see Figure).7

For people with osteoarthritis or musculoskeletal pain, the following steps are appropriate, particularly if they are elderly:

  • Before using any NSAID consider other interventions: paracetamol and non-drug interventions should be tried first and will work for many8
  • If NSAIDs are required, use the lowest effective dose, for the shortest possible length of time.3,8 Consider the overall safety profile of NSAIDs (in particular GI safety) and risk factors for individual patients.3 Low-dose ibuprofen should normally be considered before naproxen or diclofenac8
  • Consider gastroprotection with traditional NSAIDs in those at high risk of upper gastrointestinal (GI) complications (e.g. aged 65 or over, history of GI or CV disease). Options include misoprostol and proton-pump inhibitors.9

Selective COX-2 inhibitors do not have good evidence to support the belief that they reduce NSAID-associated dyspepsia or serious upper GI complications, such as perforated ulcer or bleeding, compared with traditional NSAIDs.9,10

Figure: Prescribing trends for NSAIDs in England (2000—2005)7

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References

  1. Kearney PM, Baigent C, Godwin J, et al. Do selective cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors and traditional non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs increase the risk of atherothrombosis? Meta-analysis of randomised trials. BMJ 2006;332:1302-8
  2. Duff G, Chairman, Committee on Safety of Medicines. Updated advice on the safety of selective cox-2 inhibitors. Letter to healthcare professionals. February 2005. Accessed from www.mhra. gov.uk on 14/06/06
  3. Duff G, Chairman, Committee on Safety of Medicines. Cardiovascular safety of NSAIDs - review of the evidence. Letter to healthcare professionals. August 2005. Accessed from www.mhra.gov.uk on 14/06/06
  4. Dieppe P, Bartlett C, Davey P, et al. Balancing benefits and harms: the example of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. BMJ 2004;329:31-4
  5. Johnson AG, Nguyen TV, Day RO. Do non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs affect blood pressure? A meta-analysis. Ann Int Med 1994;121:289-300
  6. Garcia Rodriguez LA, Hernandez-Diaz S. Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs as a trigger of clinical heart failure. Epidemiology 2003,14:240-6
  7. Personal communication. NHS Business Services Authority. June 2006
  8. National Prescribing Centre. The withdrawal of co-proxamol: alternative analgesics for mild to moderate pain. MeReC Bulletin 2006;16:13-6
  9. National Prescribing Centre. NSAIDs and gastroprotection. MeReC Briefing 2002;20:1-8
  10. Committee for Proprietary Medicinal Products (CPMP) opinion following an article 31 referral for all medicinal products containing celecoxib, etoricoxib, parecoxib, rofecoxib or valdecoxib. 30 April 2004. Accessed from http://www.emea.eu.int/htms/human/ referral/referral.htm on 15/06/06

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The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) is associated with MeReC Publications published by the NPC through a funding contract. This arrangement provides NICE with the ability to secure value for money in the use of NHS funds invested in its work and enables it to influence topic selection, methodology and dissemination practice. NICE considers the work of this organisation to be of value to the NHS in England and Wales and recommends that it be used to inform decisions on service organisation and delivery. This publication represents the views of the authors and not necessarily those of the Institute.

©National Prescribing Centre 2006, The Infirmary, 70 Pembroke Place, Liverpool, L69 3GF
Telephone: 0151 794 8146 Fax: 0151 794 8139

 
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